Saturday, June 21, 2025

Trilogy of essays debunking “Rushing Kids into Transition”

Substack promotion image for my new essay. Background image is a photo of a man wearing safety goggles and a lab coat, whose face is blurred in the background. The foreground focuses on his hands (wearing blue latex gloves) holding two small flasks containing slightly differently shades of blue liquid. It is obviously a staged photo rather than depicting actual science. The text includes the title of the essay: "What Covid 'Lab Leak' and 'Rushing Kids into Transition' Have in Common (and more general thoughts about conspiracy theories and negativity bias)" and my website: juliaserano.substack.com
Please check out my LATEST ESSAY: What Covid “Lab Leak” and “Rushing Kids into Transition” Have in Common (and more general thoughts about conspiracy theories and negativity bias) (on both Substack & Medium). It is the third piece in an unintended trilogy of sorts, so I figured I’d briefly share my thought process on it.

In 2023, I published one of my most comprehensive essays ever: Gender-Affirming Care for Trans Youth Is Neither New nor Experimental: A Timeline and Compilation of Studies. In it, I provide a timeline of how the gender-affirmative model came to be, counter the most common misconceptions and talking points against it, and include well over 100 references (including position statements from major health professional organizations) in support of it. In other words, that essay is a science- and logic-based deep-dive into the subject.

But as we all know, some people won’t accept the science on this matter regardless of how many studies are done and how high quality they are. In fact, I’ve increasingly noticed that these opponents routinely fantasize about finding some kind of “smoking gun” (whether it be the “WPATH Files,” Jamie Reed, the Cass report, etc.) that would magically appear and somehow invalidate all the past research showing that gender-affirming care is efficacious, even though that’s not how science works. In other words, they seem to treat the issue like a conspiracy theory—I made this case in my 2024 essay The Cass Review, WPATH Files, and the Perpetual Debate over Gender-Affirming Care.

My latest essay expands upon this. Specifically, I show how a basic cognitive bias known as negativity bias—our tendency to dwell more on negative outcomes than positive or neutral ones, and to presume that negative events must have been caused by something or someone rather than occurring naturally or inexplicably—can explain the behaviors of opponents of gender-affirming care and their relentless belief that kids are being “rushed into transition” despite all evidence to the contrary. I also examine the striking parallels between how “rushing kids into transition” and the Covid “lab leak” theories have spread like wildfire in the mainstream media despite the scientific consensuses against them. You can read it at:

Medium (friend link that circumvents the paywall): https://juliaserano.medium.com/what-covid-lab-leak-and-rushing-kids-into-transition-have-in-common-2eb4e08ee3f4?sk=c866d22b9e29cc428fd73e02abba9881

or Substack (no paywall): https://juliaserano.substack.com/p/what-covid-lab-leak-and-rushing-kids

As always, please share widely and give it lots of claps and likes and such! And if you appreciate that I make essays like this freely available online, please consider supporting me on Patreon (for as little as $1/month)!